Electronics under test in a security laboratory

Independent research institute & security lab

Shrewd Research.

The metre, for AI safety.

We test the claims AI systems depend on, prove where defenses fail, and publish evidence others can verify.

The mission

An independent standard for AI safety claims.

A measurement only means something if it can be checked independently. We bring that principle to AI safety: research the limits, test real systems, and make the evidence available to others. The same method travels across the fields where AI is now deployed.

Shrewd Research is completely independent — no venture money, no corporate sponsor, no product to protect. When we say a claim holds or fails, the only interest behind that answer is the evidence.

  • Healthcare
  • Agentic systems
  • Multi-agent teams
  • Model evaluation
  • Digital forensics
  • Infrastructure
  • Security education
Our mission & methods

Newest first

Latest research

All papers
2026.10
The Coffee Law: Information, Reasoning and Communication Ceilings for Tool-Using Agent Collectives

An AI safety result for multi-agent systems. Why do some agent collectives improve with more agents, more debate or a stronger model, while others do not? The productive question is which resource limits a collective, and which intervention removes that limit. The paper decomposes collective intelligence into three ceilings: information (a team cannot know more than its starting data plus what its tools can carry — talking and voting add nothing to that budget, and adding agents raises it only through more tool access), reasoning (what bounded agents can use is at most what they hold; debate and compute close the gap but never pass it, at a cost from linear to infeasible), and communication (evidence split across agents is unusable until enough is exchanged — about n/2 bits for some n-bit tasks even with unlimited computation). The decomposition explains published findings that otherwise look contradictory, yields a diagnostic for which ceiling binds, and makes predictions a single capability axis does not. Proofs are short; every finite example is verified exactly in public code.

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